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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1501
2100Z WED OCT 31 2001
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  83.3W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  83.3W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  83.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 16.0N  83.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 16.9N  83.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.9N  84.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N  83.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 18.8N  84.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 21.0N  85.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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