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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1501
0900Z TUE OCT 30 2001
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  84.0W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  84.0W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  84.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 15.0N  84.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 16.0N  85.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 17.2N  85.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N  84.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 18.3N  85.4W.
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 20.5N  85.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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