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TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1301
0300Z MON OCT 15 2001
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.4N  64.4W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 200SE 100SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 250SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.4N  64.4W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.9N  64.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 43.7N  64.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 200SE 100SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 48.0N  62.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 200SE 100SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 51.5N  58.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.4N  64.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z...ABSORBED...DISSIPATED
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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