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HURRICANE KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1301
0300Z SUN OCT 14 2001
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.3N  63.9W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 175SE 300SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.3N  63.9W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.9N  64.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 39.4N  63.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 41.0N  63.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 43.1N  63.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.3N  63.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 46.0N  61.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 50.0N  54.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
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