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HURRICANE KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1301
2100Z SAT OCT 13 2001
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.6N  64.6W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......140NE 140SE 100SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 250SE 250SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.6N  64.6W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.3N  64.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 38.5N  64.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 39.7N  64.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 140SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 40.9N  64.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 130SW 130NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.6N  64.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 42.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 45.0N  62.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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