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TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1301
1500Z SAT OCT 13 2001
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.0N  64.5W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  60SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT.......130NE 140SE  50SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 350SE 350SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.0N  64.5W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.4N  64.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 38.7N  63.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  60SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 41.0N  62.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  60SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 43.5N  61.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 130SW 130NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.0N  64.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 46.0N  59.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 50.0N  53.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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