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TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1201
0300Z MON OCT 08 2001
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST. VINCENT AND
THE GRENADINE ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GRENADA AND ITS
DEPENDENCIES.
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS MAY AFFECT ST. LUCIA ON MONDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  60.6W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  60.6W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N  60.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 14.0N  62.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 14.8N  65.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 15.5N  67.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N  60.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 16.2N  69.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 17.5N  74.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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