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TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1201
2100Z SUN OCT 07 2001
 
AT 2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST VINCENT
AND THE GRENADINE ISLANDS...GRENADA AND DEPENDENCIES.
 
AT 2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TOBAGO.

AT 2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BARBADOS IS DISCONTINUED.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  60.2W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  60.2W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N  59.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 13.2N  62.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 14.0N  65.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 14.8N  68.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N  60.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 15.8N  71.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 17.0N  76.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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