HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1201
0300Z SUN OCT 07 2001
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS.  THE WATCH 
MAY BE UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ON SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N  54.1W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N  54.1W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N  53.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 11.5N  56.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 12.2N  58.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 12.8N  60.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.1N  54.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 13.5N  62.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 14.8N  66.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
NNNN