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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1201
1500Z SAT OCT 06 2001
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  51.1W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  51.1W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N  50.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 12.0N  53.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 12.5N  55.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 13.5N  58.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.2N  51.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 14.0N  60.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 15.0N  63.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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