[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE IRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1101
2100Z SUN OCT 07 2001
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF YUCATAN FROM
CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD AND FOR BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD.
THE HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE UPGRADED TO HURRICANE WARNING TONIGHT.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE NORTH COAST OF
HONDURAS AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS FROM LIMON WESTWARD.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS DISCONTINUED
THE HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR JAMAICA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  79.7W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  50SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 120SE  50SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  79.7W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  78.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.5N  82.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 18.0N  85.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 18.0N  88.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N  79.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 18.0N  91.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 18.0N  96.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
NNNN


Problems?