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HURRICANE IRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1101
0300Z SUN OCT 07 2001
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND FOR THE CUBAN
PROVINCES OF GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND GUANTANAMO.  AT 10 PM
EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WARNING FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN CUBA FOR THE
PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS AND CAMAGUEY.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF HAITI
FROM THE BORDER OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO ANSE D HAINAULT.  THIS
WARNINGS WILL BE LOWERED EARLY ON SUNDAY.  AT 11 PM EDT...ALL
WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  74.8W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  25SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 100SE  50SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  74.8W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  74.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.9N  76.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  25SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 18.8N  79.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.1N  82.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N  74.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 19.0N  84.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 19.0N  89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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