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TROPICAL STORM IRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1101
0900Z SAT OCT 06 2001

...CORRECT ADVISORY POSITION AND WIND SPEED...

AT 5 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR JAMAICA.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA TO LA BEATA...AND LONG THE SOUTH
COAST OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER TO ANSE D
HAINAULT.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM PUNTA PALENQUE TO
BARAHONA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR
JAMAICA.  HURRICANE WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR JAMAICA LATER
TODAY.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN CUBA FOR THE
PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO WESTWARD TO CAMAGUEY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  69.7W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  75SE   0SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  75SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  69.7W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  69.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 16.8N  72.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 17.8N  75.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 18.6N  77.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  60SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N  69.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 19.0N  80.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  60SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 19.5N  85.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  75SE  60SW 120NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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