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TROPICAL STORM IRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1101
0300Z SAT OCT 06 2001
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WATCH FOR THE PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO WESTWARD TO CAMAGUEY.

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS UPGRADED THE 
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR JAMAICA TO A HURRICANE WATCH.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF
HISPANIOLA FROM BARAHONA IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO ANSE D
HAINAULT HAITI.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO BARAHONA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  68.5W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  68.5W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N  67.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.2N  71.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 17.2N  74.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 18.1N  76.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N  68.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 19.0N  79.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 19.5N  84.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  60SW 120NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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