HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1101
1500Z FRI OCT 05 2001
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO CABO BEATA AND A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FROM WEST OF CABO BEATA TO THE BORDER OF HAITI.
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE SOUTH COAST OF HAITI FROM THE HAITI/DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER TO
THE SOUTHWESTERN TIP OF HAITI...ANSE D HAINAULT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  64.7W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  64.7W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  64.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.3N  67.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.3N  70.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 17.0N  72.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N  64.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 17.5N  75.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 18.5N  79.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
NNNN