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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1101
2100Z THU OCT 04 2001
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N  60.7W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   0 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N  60.7W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  59.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 14.0N  63.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.0N  66.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.0N  68.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  25NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N  60.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 17.0N  71.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  25NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 18.0N  75.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  25NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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