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HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  44
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0601
0900Z THU SEP 13 2001
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N  60.7W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 175SE 175SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N  60.7W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.3N  61.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 39.5N  59.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 175SE 175SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 41.6N  57.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 175SE 175SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 44.3N  54.8W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW 150NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.5N  60.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 48.0N  52.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  75SW  30NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 250SW 200NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 60.0N  42.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  75SW  30NW.
34 KT...300NE 360SE 360SW 300NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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