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HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  40
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0601
0900Z WED SEP 12 2001
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.0N  62.9W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......100NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 175SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.0N  62.9W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.0N  63.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 38.1N  61.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 38.7N  59.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 40.0N  58.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.0N  62.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 41.4N  56.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 44.5N  53.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  75SW  75NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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