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HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0601
2100Z TUE SEP 11 2001
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.9N  64.9W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO  95 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......100NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 175SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.9N  64.9W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.7N  65.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 38.5N  63.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 39.0N  61.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 39.8N  59.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.9N  64.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 41.0N  57.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 46.0N  52.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  75SW  75NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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