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HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0601
0300Z MON SEP 10 2001
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
FOR BERMUDA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.7N  63.5W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 337 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  969 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 175SE 100SW 250NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.7N  63.5W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.3N  63.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 34.8N  64.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 36.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 37.0N  63.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.7N  63.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 38.2N  61.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 40.0N  58.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW  75NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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