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TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0601
2100Z FRI SEP 07 2001
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  58.1W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  58.1W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  58.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 26.7N  58.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 28.5N  59.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 30.5N  60.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  25SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.7N  58.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 32.5N  62.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 34.5N  63.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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