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TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0601
1500Z MON SEP 03 2001
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  46.3W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  46.3W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  45.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 17.0N  48.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 17.9N  51.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.9N  53.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N  46.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 19.9N  55.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 22.0N  59.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
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