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TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0601
0900Z SUN SEP 02 2001
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  38.5W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  38.5W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  37.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 13.9N  40.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 14.5N  43.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 15.1N  46.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N  38.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 15.8N  49.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  85SE  85SW 110NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 17.5N  54.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  85SE  85SW 110NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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