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TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0401
2100Z THU AUG 16 2001
...MINOR CORRECTION TO REPEAT LINE...58.0W...
THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
GUADELOUPE AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS...EFFECTIVE AT 12 PM
AST...1600Z.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS...ST.
VINCENT...ST. LUCIA...DOMINICA AND THE GRENADINES.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRENADA...TOBAGO AND
ITS DEPENDENCIES...AND MARTINIQUE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  58.0W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  23 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  50SE  50SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  58.0W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  56.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 12.9N  61.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 13.5N  65.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 14.5N  70.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N  58.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 16.0N  74.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 18.0N  80.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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