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TROPICAL DEPRESSION LORENA DISCUSSION NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT THU OCT 04 2001

HIGH RESOLUTION VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE CENTER OF
CIRCULATION HAS BECOME DISTORTED.  ONLY A SMALL AREA OF DEEP
CONVECTION EXISTS...BEING SHEARED NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM THE
CENTER.  LORENA IS IN THE PROCESS OF DISSIPATION...ALTHOUGH A
REMNANT LOW-LEVEL VORTICITY MAXIMUM MIGHT REACH THE COAST EARLY
TOMORROW.

INITIAL MOTION IS ONLY SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE
EARLIER ESTIMATES. THE FORECAST TRACK IS NEARLY THE SAME AS IN THE 
PREVIOUS ADVISORY...AS LORENAS REMNANTS ARE LIKELY TO BE STEERED 
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AHEAD OF A LOW-LEVEL TROUGH.

SINCE THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS DISSIPATING...THIS IS THE LAST
ADVISORY.
 
FORECASTER PASCH/TICHACEK/MOLLEDA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     04/2100Z 20.1N 106.6W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
12HR VT     05/0600Z 21.5N 106.0W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT     05/1800Z 24.0N 104.5W    15 KTS...REMNANT LOW INLAND
36HR VT     06/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
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