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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLOSSIE DISCUSSION NUMBER  27
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT SAT SEP 01 2001
 
FLOSSIE CONTINUES TO BE DEVOID OF ANY CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER.  
HOWEVER A QUIKSCAT PASS AT 14Z STILL SHOWED A FEW 30 KNOT WINDS WEST 
OF THE CENTER.  SO THE WIND SPEED IS KEPT AT 30 KNOTS FOR THIS 
ADVISORY...BUT COLD SSTS AND STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR ARE EXPECTED TO 
DISSIPATE THE SYSTEM IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 025/5 AS FLOSSIE MOVES SLOWLY BETWEEN 
A HIGH TO ITS SOUTHEAST AND A TROUGH TO ITS NORTHWEST.  THIS MOTION 
WITH A LITTLE ACCELERATION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL 
DISSIPATION AND THE FORECAST TRACK IS SHIFTED A LITTLE TO THE EAST 
OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.

SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A PLUME OF MID/UPPER LEVEL
MOISTURE EXTENDING ACROSS NORTHERN BAJA AND NORTHWESTERN MEXICO INTO
ARIZONA.  THE MOISTURE COULD SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA AND NEW MEXICO IN THE NEXT 24 HR.
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     01/2100Z 26.3N 118.5W    30 KTS
12HR VT     02/0600Z 27.0N 118.1W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
24HR VT     02/1800Z 28.2N 117.6W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT     03/0600Z 29.5N 117.3W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT     03/1800Z...DISSIPATED
  
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