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TROPICAL STORM DALILA DISCUSSION NUMBER 28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT FRI JUL 27 2001
VISIBLE IMAGES DURING THE DAY REVEALED THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER WAS
A LITTLE TO THE NORTHEAST THAN THE POSITION INDICATED THIS MORNING.
THEREFORE...THE TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED AND THE OVERALL MOTION
APPEARS TO BE ABOUT 295 DEGREES AT 8 KNOTS. THIS WOULD BRING THE
TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER INCREASINGLY COOL WATERS. CONSEQUENTLY...DEEP
CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DECREASE AND THE SYSTEM WILL PROBABLY BE A
SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS SOON. SOME INTERMITTENT CONVECTION MAY DEVELOP
BEFORE DISSIPATION IN A DAY OR SO. DALILA COULD TURN MORE TO THE
WEST..STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW...AS THE SYSTEM BECOMES SHALLOW.
FORECASTER AVILA
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 27/2100Z 21.3N 118.2W 35 KTS
12HR VT 28/0600Z 22.0N 119.5W 30 KTS
24HR VT 28/1800Z 22.5N 121.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING
36HR VT 29/0600Z 22.5N 122.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING
48HR VT 29/1800Z 22.5N 123.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING
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