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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERICK DISCUSSION NUMBER  14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM PDT MON JUL 23 2001
 
ERICK IS ESSENTIALLY A LARGE WELL-ORGANIZED SWIRL OF LOW- AND 
MID-LEVEL CLOUDS...BUT IS DEVOID OF ANY SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.
AS SUCH...THIS SYSTEM NO LONGER MEETS THE CRITERIA TO BE CLASSIFIED 
AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE.
 
THE REMNANT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION SHOULD BE STEERED WESTWARD BY THE 
EASTERLY FLOW ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SITUATED TO 
THE NORTH OF ERICK. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH ALL AVILABLE MODEL 
GUIDANCE AND THE OFFICAL TRACK IS CLOSE TO THE AVN AND NOGAPS 
MODELS.

THIS IS THE FINAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY ON ERICK.  ADDITIONAL 
FORECAST INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS 
FORECASTS (AWIPS HEADER MIAHSFEP2 AND WMO HEADER FZPN03 KNHC) ISSUED 
BY THE TPC/TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH (TAFB).

FORECASTER STEWART
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     24/0300Z 21.2N 128.9W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
12HR VT     24/1200Z 21.5N 129.8W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
24HR VT     25/0000Z 21.7N 131.0W    25 KTS...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT     25/1200Z 21.8N 132.1W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT     26/0000Z 21.9N 133.2W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
72HR VT     27/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
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