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TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME DISCUSSION NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT SUN JUL 15 2001
 
COSME HAS NOT GENERATED ANY DEEP CONVECTION SINCE ABOUT 03Z THIS
MORNING...AND IS BEGINNING TO BE UNCLASSIFIABLE BY THE DVORAK
TECHNIQUE.  WITH COOLER WATERS AHEAD OF COSME NO SIGNIFICANT
COMEBACK IS EXPECTED...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE
INTO A BROAD AND NON-CONVECTIVE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITHIN THE NEXT 
SIX TO TWELVE HOURS.  THE AVN...UKMET...AND NOGAPS ALL SUGGEST THAT 
THE REMNANT LOW CIRCULATION WILL PERSIST FOR ANOTHER COUPLE OF DAYS 
AND MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     15/1500Z 19.4N 117.6W    25 KTS
12HR VT     16/0000Z 19.7N 118.5W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
24HR VT     16/1200Z 19.8N 119.8W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT     17/0000Z 19.8N 121.0W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT     17/1200Z 19.8N 122.0W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
72HR VT     18/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
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