[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM BARBARA DISCUSSION NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM PDT FRI JUN 22 2001
 
SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS WEAKENING 
WHILE BECOMING DETACHED FROM THE MID-LEVELS. DEEP CONVECTION IS 
MINIMAL AT THIS TIME AND T-NUMBERS ARE GRADUALLY DECREASING. INITIAL 
INTENSITY HAS BEEN ADJUSTED TO 35 KNOTS AND BECAUSE COLD WATER AND 
SHEAR...FURTHER WEAKENING IS INDICATED.  

BARBARA HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST BETWEEN 12 AND 14 
KNOTS AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON THAT GENERAL TRACK STEERED BY 
THE LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW UNTIL DISSIPATION. HOWEVER...SOME 
ADDITIONAL BURSTS OF CONVECTION MAY OCCURS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR 
TWO.  THE REMNANTS OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE NEAR THE HAWAIIAN 
ISLANDS IN 3 TO 4 DAYS.

FORECASTER AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     22/0900Z 16.3N 138.5W    35 KTS
12HR VT     22/1800Z 17.0N 140.5W    30 KTS
24HR VT     23/0600Z 17.5N 143.0W    25 KTS
36HR VT     23/1800Z 18.0N 145.0W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
48HR VT     24/0600Z 18.5N 147.5W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
72HR VT     25/0600Z 19.5N 152.5W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
 
 
NNNN


Problems?