ZCZC MIATCDAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLGA DISCUSSION NUMBER 38 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM EST MON DEC 03 2001 OLGA HAS DEGENERATED INTO A TIGHT SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS WITH MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION WELL REMOVED FROM THE CENTER. DVORAK T-NUMBERS SUPPORT ONLY 30 KNOTS AND OLGA IS BEING DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION STATUS. OLGA WILL LIKELY PRODUCE INTERMITTENT BURSTS OF CONVECTION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...BUT STRONG SHEAR SHOULD PREVENT THE CYCLONE FROM RESTRENGTHENING. OLGA IS CURRENTLY MOVING TOWARD THE EAST ABOUT 6 KNOTS. BECAUSE THE SYSTEM IS SHALLOW...IT IS FORECAST TO TURN BACK OR LOOP TO THE SOUTHWEST...STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING HIGH TO THE NORTH. OLGA IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE IN A DAY OR TWO. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/0300Z 27.6N 68.9W 30 KTS 12HR VT 04/1200Z 27.5N 67.7W 25 KTS 24HR VT 05/0000Z 27.5N 67.5W 20 KTS...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 05/1200Z 26.0N 68.0W 20 KTS...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 06/0000Z 25.0N 70.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING NNNN