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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM PDT TUE SEP 19 2000
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E DEVELOPS OFF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF
MEXICO...FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM SOON...
AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF MEXICO
FROM ZIHUATANEJO TO MANZANILLO.
AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.4 WEST
OR ABOUT 110 MILES...175 KM... SOUTHWEST OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
...AND 165 MILES...270 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.
THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. DUE TO THE WEAK STEERING CURRENTS SURROUNDING THIS SYSTEM...
SOME ERRATIC MOTION CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER
TONIGHT OR ON WEDNESDAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
DUE TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE DEPRESSION...HEAVY RAINS OF 8 TO 12
INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE
LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA...AND ALSO FARTHER NORTH
AND SOUTH ALONG THE COAST AND WELL INLAND. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...16.9 N...103.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM
PDT...WEDNESDAY.
FORECASTER STEWART
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