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TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM PDT MON JUN 19 2000

...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN COAST...
 
AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE PACIFIC COAST FROM PUERTO ANGEL TO
ZIHUATANEJO...AND HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WESTWARD
TO ZIHUATANEJO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE
NOW IN EFFECT FROM PUERTO ANGEL TO ZIHUATANEJO...AND A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT EAST OF PUERTO ANGEL TO SALINA CRUZ.
 
AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  96.4 WEST OR ABOUT 140
MILES...220 KM...SOUTH OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO.
 
CARLOTTA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH
...20 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD KEEP THE CENTER OF CARLOTTA
OFFSHORE OF THE MEXICAN COAST. HOWEVER...ANY NORTHWARD TURN COULD
QUICKLY BRING THE CENTER CLOSE TO THE COAST.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND CARLOTTA COULD BECOME A
HURRICANE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF CARLOTTA WILL SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN MEXICO TODAY. THESE WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS
THAT COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...13.6 N... 96.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM
PDT.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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