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BULLETIN
HURRICANE KEITH ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT THU OCT 05 2000
 
...KEITH WITHIN A FEW HOURS OF LANDFALL BETWEEN TAMPICO AND LA
PESCA...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST FROM
TUXPAN TO MATAMOROS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT SOUTH
OF TUXPAN TO VERACRUZ MEXICO...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT SOUTH OF VERACRUZ TO COATZACOALCOS MEXICO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM BROWNSVILLE TO PORT
MANSFIELD TEXAS.
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KEITH
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  97.5 WEST
OR ABOUT 20 MILES...35 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF TAMPICO MEXICO.
 
KEITH IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR.  ON
THIS TRACK...KEITH WOULD MAKE LANDFALL BETWEEN TAMPICO AND LA PESCA
THIS AFTERNOON.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  50 MILES... 85 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.
 
THE MOST RECENT PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 984
MB...29.06 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO
THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINS...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE TRACK OF KEITH.
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...22.3 N... 97.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 90 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 984 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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