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HURRICANE KEITH ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT THU OCT 05 2000

...KEITH REGAINED HURRICANE STRENGTH...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST FROM
TUXPAN TO MATAMOROS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT SOUTH
OF TUXPAN TO VERACRUZ MEXICO...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT SOUTH OF VERACRUZ TO COATZACOALCOS MEXICO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM BROWNSVILLE TO PORT
MANSFIELD TEXAS.
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KEITH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  96.7 WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES...150
KM...SOUTHEAST OF TAMPICO MEXICO.
 
KEITH IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.  ON THIS TRACK KEITH
WILL MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE
LANDFALL.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.
 
LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE
WAS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO
THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINS...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE TRACK OF KEITH.
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...21.4 N... 96.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...
75 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM
CDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
  
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