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TROPICAL STORM KEITH ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT WED OCT 04 2000
 
...KEITH NEARING HURRICANE STRENGTH...NEW WARNINGS AND WATCHES
ISSUED...

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING NORTH OF LA PESCA TO MATAMOROS ON THE MEXICO-
TEXAS BORDER.  A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED SOUTH OF TUXPAN TO
VERACRUZ.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE TEXAS
COAST FROM BROWNSVILLE TO PORT MANSFIELD.
 
HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST FROM
TUXPAN TO MATAMOROS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH
ARE IN EFFECT SOUTH OF TUXPAN TO VERACRUZ MEXICO...AND A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF VERACRUZ TO COATZACOALCOS
MEXICO.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM BROWNSVILLE
TEXAS TO PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS.
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KEITH
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  95.3 WEST
OR ABOUT 190 MILES...305 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAMPICO MEXICO.
 
KEITH IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF KEITH COULD MAKE LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO ON THURSDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR  70 MPH...110
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY AND
KEITH SHOULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES
...280 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  988 MB...29.18 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO
THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINS...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE TRACK OF KEITH. 
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...20.9 N... 95.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 988 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT...THURSDAY.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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