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HURRICANE KEITH ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SAT SEP 30 2000
 
...KEITH CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN AS IT NEARS THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA AND BELIZE FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD TO MONKEY
RIVER TOWN.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH COAST OF YUCATAN
FROM WEST OF CABO CATOCHE TO PROGRESO.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KEITH WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.1 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES
...130 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO.
 
KEITH IS DRIFTING SLOWLY WESTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH ON SUNDAY.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR
...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT AS THE CENTER NEARS THE COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  960 MB...28.35 INCHES.
 
HEAVY RAIN IS AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...BELIZE
...HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE BATTERING WAVES...ARE LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNING
AREA.
 
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...18.1 N... 87.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR  2 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 960 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM
CDT...SUNDAY.
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
  
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