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HURRICANE KEITH ADVISORY NUMBER  9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SAT SEP 30 2000

...KEITH REACHES 100 MPH WINDS...MOVING LITTLE...
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS EXTENDED THE
HURRICANE WARNING SOUTHWARD TO MONKEY RIVER TOWN.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF YUCATAN
AND BELIZE FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD TO MONKEY RIVER TOWN.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH COAST OF YUCATAN
FROM WEST OF CABO CATOCHE TO PROGRESO.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN AND SOUTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS
HURRICANE.
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE KEITH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  86.8 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES...170
KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO. 
 
KEITH HAS BEEN MOVING LITTLE DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS AND NO
SIGNIFICANT MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. KEITH
SHOULD BEGIN A DRIFT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...160
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS ANTICIPATED AND
KEITH COULD BECOME A POWERFUL HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES...55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.
 
BANDS OF HEAVY RAINS ARE ALREADY AFFECTING PORTIONS OF EASTERN
YUCATAN...BELIZE AND NORTHERN HONDURAS.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE BATTERING WAVES...ARE LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.
 
REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...18.0 N... 86.8 W.  MOVEMENT
NEARLY STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH.  MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM
CDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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