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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT FRI SEP 29 2000

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...TORRENTIAL RAINS
EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA...
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  84.3 WEST OR ABOUT
325 MILES...525 KM...SOUTH OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST...AND THIS
SLOW MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR
SATURDAY.  A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WILL INVESTIGATE THE DEPRESSION
THIS AFTERNOON.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC COULD BRING
TORRENTIAL RAINS TO PORTION OF CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT FEW
DAYS AND PREVENTIVE ACTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS DEVELOPING TROPICAL CYCLONE.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...17.2 N... 84.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR  3 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...
35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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