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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU SEP 28 2000

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN NEAR THE
NORTHEASTERN TIP OF HONDURAS...
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FIFTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 
82.9 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES...115 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CAPE
GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE NORTHEASTERN TIP OF HONDURAS.
 
THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS
EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE WAS 1004
MB...29.65 INCHES.

TORRENTIAL RAINS COULD OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA
PRIMARILY OVER NORTHEASTERN HONDURAS.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...16.1 N... 82.9 W.  MOVEMENT
NEARLY STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH.  MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. 
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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