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HURRICANE JOYCE ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI SEP 29 2000

...INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
JOYCE... 

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOYCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  47.5 WEST OR ABOUT 835 MILES...1340
KM...EAST OF BARBADOS.
 
JOYCE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST SOUTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...
AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR  85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  979 MB...28.91 INCHES.
  
REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...10.6 N... 47.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST SOUTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 979 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM AST.
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
  
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