HOME	PRODUCTS	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SAT SEP 16 2000

...DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...
BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...ST. KITTS...ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND
ST. EUSTATIUS.  

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT THE
DEPRESSION REMAINS DISORGANIZED...AND MAY NOT HAVE A CLOSED
CIRCULATION.
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF THE TROPICAL
DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  57.3
WEST OR ABOUT 260 MILES...420 KM...EAST OF GUADELOUPE.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH...28
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS. 

EVEN THOUGH THE DEPRESSION IS DISORGANIZED...THE HURRICANE HUNTERS
REPORTED STRONG WINDS TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.  WIND GUSTS TO
TROPICAL STORM FORCE IN SQUALLS ARE LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...16.1 N... 57.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
AST.
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
NNNN