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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI SEP 15 2000
 
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORMS EAST OF THE CARIBBEAN...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE POORLY ORGANIZED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWELVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 
53.5 WEST OR ABOUT 470 MILES...765 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH
...26 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NIGHT.  HOWEVER...THE DEPRESSION COULD REACH TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH
BEFORE MOVING OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.  TROPICAL STORM WATCHES
AND/OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE ISLANDS LATER
TONIGHT OR SATURDAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...15.6 N... 53.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.
 
FORECASTER MAYFIELD
 
 
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