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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT FRI SEP 15 2000

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON THE VERGE OF BECOMING A TROPICAL STORM...

DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST AND THE START OF WEEKEND
ACTIVITIES...ALL INTERESTS IN THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO FROM FLORIDA TO TEXAS ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS DEVELOPING SYSTEM.
 
DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM
YUCATAN INDICATE THAT AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE POORLY DEFINED
CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.7
NORTH...LONGITUDE  88.0 WEST OVER THE NORTH COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA
 
THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN MEANDERING DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS MAINLY IN RAINBANDS TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.  THE DEPRESSION
MAY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY. 
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
HEAVY RAINS...LOCALLY UP TO 10 INCHES...ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF
WESTERN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
 
REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...21.7 N... 88.0 W.  MOVEMENT
MEANDERING.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...1004 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
10 PM CDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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