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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM PDT TUE SEP 19 2000

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E NEARING THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF
MEXICO...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST
OF MEXICO FROM ZIHUATANEJO TO MANZANILLO.
 
AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION
WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.4 WEST
OR ABOUT 95 MILES...155 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LAZARO CARDENAS
MEXICO...AND 155 MILES...250 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO
MEXICO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.  DUE TO THE WEAK STEERING CURRENTS SURROUNDING THIS SYSTEM...
SOME ERRATIC MOTION CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM SOON.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
 
DUE TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE DEPRESSION...HEAVY RAINS OF 8 TO 12
INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE
LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA...AND ALSO FARTHER NORTH
AND SOUTH ALONG THE COAST AND WELL INLAND.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...17.0 N...103.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR  2 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
2 AM PDT...WEDNESDAY.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
  
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