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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  3A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM PDT SAT SEP 16 2000

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION HEADED FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA SOUTH OF LATITUDE 24 DEGREES NORTH.

AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.0 WEST OR ABOUT 180
MILES...280 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS ON THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA.  
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR  9 MPH
...15 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.  THIS MOTION COULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA LATE TODAY OR EARLY SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL BE SPREADING INTO SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
LATER TODAY.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES. 
 
REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...21.0 N...108.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR  9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
8 AM PDT.
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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