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TROPICAL STORM ILEANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  5A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM PDT MON AUG 14 2000
 
...ILEANA THREATENS SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA
CALIFORNIA FROM LA PAZ AROUND THE PENINSULA TO TODOS LOS SANTOS.
IT MAY BE NECESSARY TO UPGRADE THE HURRICANE WATCH TO A HURRICANE
WARNING LATER THIS EVENING.
 
AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ILEANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.8 WEST OR ABOUT 200
MILES...320 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS BAJA CALIFORNIA.

ILEANA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND
A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF ILEANA SHOULD BE PASSING SOUTH
OF...OR VERY NEAR...THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ON TUESDAY. 
HOWEVER...A DEVIATION TO THE NORTH OF THE TRACK COULD BRING THE CORE
OF ILEANA OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA PENINSULA.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ILEANA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  85 MILES ...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  998 MB...29.47 INCHES.
 
A FEW RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH ILEANA ARE STILL AFFECTING PORTIONS
OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA.  THESE RAINS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...20.8 N...107.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 998 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
8 PM PDT. 
 
FORECASTER PASCH
  
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