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TROPICAL STORM KEITH INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 26A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1 AM CDT THU OCT 05 2000
 
...KEITH NEARING HURRICANE STRENGTH... A HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE
CURRENTLY APPROACHING KEITH...
 
HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST FROM TUXPAN
TO MATAMOROS.  

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT SOUTH
OF TUXPAN TO VERACRUZ MEXICO...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT SOUTH OF VERACRUZ TO COATZACOALCOS MEXICO. 

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM BROWNSVILLE TEXAS TO
PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS.
 
AT 1 AM CDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KEITH WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  95.7 WEST OR ABOUT
155 MILES...255 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAMPICO MEXICO.
 
KEITH IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF KEITH COULD MAKE LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO LATER TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 
FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY AND KEITH SHOULD BECOME A HURRICANE
SOON.  A HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE WILL BE IN THE AREA SHORTLY. 
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES
...280 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  988 MB...29.18 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO
THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINS...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE TRACK OF KEITH. 
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 1 AM CDT POSITION...21.2 N... 95.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...
70 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 988 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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