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TROPICAL STORM KEITH INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  19A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
7 AM CDT TUE OCT 03 2000

...KEITH CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA AND BELIZE FROM CABO CATOCHE MEXICO TO MONKEY
RIVER TOWN BELIZE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH COAST OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CABO CATOCHE TO PROGRESO.
 
SOME OR ALL OF THE WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL BE LOWERED LATER TODAY.

INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
AT 7 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KEITH
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  88.9 WEST
OR INLAND OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA ABOUT 40 MILES...65 KM...
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO.
 
KEITH IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  6 MPH... 9 KM/HR...
AND A WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  45 MPH... 70 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
KEITH SHOULD WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  80 MILES
...130 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  993 MB...29.32 INCHES.
 
MINOR STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL BE DECREASING TODAY.  
 
HEAVY RAINS ARE STILL AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA...BELIZE...AND NORTHERN GUATEMALA.  THESE RAINS COULD
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.  RECENT HAM
RADIO REPORTS INDICATE THAT MORE THAN 22 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN
TO THE WEST OF BELIZE CITY SINCE SATURDAY.  ADDITIONAL DEVASTATING
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS IN THE VICINITY OF KEITH COULD EASILY EXCEED
10 TO 15 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 7 AM CDT POSITION...18.3 N... 88.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 993 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
10 AM CDT.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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