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HURRICANE KEITH INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  17A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
7 PM CDT MON OCT 02 2000

...KEITH DRIFTING NORTH-NORTHWEST...TORRENTIAL RAINS CONTINUE IN
BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA AND BELIZE FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD TO MONKEY
RIVER TOWN.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH COAST OF YUCATAN
FROM WEST OF CABO CATOCHE TO PROGRESO.  THIS MAY BE CHANGED TO A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH LATER TODAY.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN AND SOUTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KEITH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  88.0 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES...50
KM...NORTHEAST OF BELIZE CITY BELIZE.
 
KEITH HAS DRIFTED SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OVER THE PAST
FEW HOURS.  WHILE LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 12
HOURS....ANY CONTINUATION OF THE CURRENT DRIFT COULD BRING THE
CENTER INLAND OVER NORTHERN BELIZE TONIGHT.  A SLOW NORTHWESTWARD
DRIFT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON TUESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  KEITH IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 988 MB...29.18 IN.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3-6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE BATTERING WAVES...WILL CONTINUE OVER A SMALL
PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF
THE HURRICANE.
 
HEAVY RAINS ARE CURRENTLY AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA...BELIZE...AND NORTHERN GUATEMALA.  THESE RAINS COULD
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.  DUE TO THE
SLOW MOTION OF THE HURRICANE...ADDITIONAL DEVASTATING RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS IN THE VICINITY OF KEITH COULD EASILY EXCEED 10 TO 15
INCHES.  AMATEUR RADIO REPORTS INDICATE STORM TOTAL RAINFALLS OF 18
TO 20 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF BELIZE.

REPEATING THE 7 PM CDT POSITION...17.9 N... 88.0 W.  MOVEMENT
DRIFTING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 988 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
10 PM CDT.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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